Holy smokes! We closed out last week with a +390 winner on Elly De La Cruz and a +680 cash on Lawrence Butler in Friday's edition of home run props. Not too shabby, huh?
It won't be easy to match that performance, but we'll do our best with three more HR props for Monday's MLB slate.
Pirates vs. Mets, 7:10 p.m. ET
Francisco Lindor couldn't have gotten off to a worse start this season, but he's recorded at least one hit in five of his last seven games. The New York Mets shortstop led the team in home runs (16), OPS (.916) and RBIs against left-handed pitching last year, and he's 5-14 in his career against Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Martin Perez. We're betting on talent here at a decent price.
Angels vs. Rays, 6:50 p.m. ET
There aren't many hitters in MLB seeing the ball as well as Logan O'Hoppe right now. The Los Angeles Angels catcher is batting .364 with a .974 OPS this season, and he ranks fifth in MLB in hard-hit rate (60.0 percent) and ninth in xwOBA (.434), per Baseball Savant. O'Hoppe has at least one hit in 12 of his 14 starts this year, but he's been a bit unlucky in the power department with only one home run. The power is going to catch up soon, and Tampa Bay Rays starter Zach Eflin has surrendered four home runs in three starts this season.
Reds vs. Mariners, 9:42 p.m. ET
Looking at the advanced slugging stats, Ty France has been extremely unlucky in the power department this season. The Seattle Mariners first baseman doesn't have a home run yet this season, but he ranks sixth in MLB in hard-hit rate and eighth in sweet spot rate. The 0.216 difference between his slugging percentage and his expected slugging percentage is also the third-highest mark in the league. Homers are on the horizon for France.
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